Tonight is the Florida Republican primary. While Mitt leads the total vote count right now, Florida is a big state, and losing it will put him behind McCain if the Arizona senator were to win.
If Mitt wins, I'm going to go out on a limb and say he wins the nomination in September.
It's going to be tight. Right now everyone is reporting different numbers; some give McCain a slight lead, others have Romney out in front by a few percentage points. And the numbers change every few minutes.
You can watch it here.
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